Reports of Trump’s Political Demise Are Greatly Exaggerated

POLITICS & POLICY
President Trump concludes a campaign rally in Johnstown, Penn., October 13, 2020. (Jonathan Ernst/Reuters)

Biden’s purported lead is a lot shakier than his media allies will admit.

The American Federation of Trump-Haters and Never-Trumpers have arrived again at their quadrennial promised land: Trump is finished, a wounded monster lurching about, baited by his innumerable enemies, lashing out mindlessly in all directions. His COVID-19 experience is a gift from God; the diligent lackey Bill Barr is a whipping boy for the long-promised Durham indictments’ non-appearance; raving and interrupting good Joe Biden in their debate has backfired; all the self-serving blowhardism is just miring him deeper in the quicksand as he sinks inexorably out of sight. The Trump era will soon be just a bad dream as the Democrats and their look-alike Republican extras regain control and the 90 percent of the federal bureaucracy that is monolithically Democratic sees off another crusading yokel who came to drain their swamp. What a relief that this horrifying aberration is finished and can go back to being someone we laugh at and poke with sharp sticks, as we move the state slowly to the left, addicting more and more Americans to the munificence of America in its endless quest to be cleansed of its white superiority and capitalist avarice.

What is missing from this picture is the cautionary statement that it is an illusion. What we’re seeing is the media and parties and polls being pushed forward by the wall-to-wall Trump-hating assault team almost completely unattached from any serious canvass of public opinion. Even as almost all the polls come tumbling down showing a double-digit lead for Joe Biden, none of the states considered solidly red have moved, and Trump has, if anything, gained and in some cases taken the lead in the twelve potentially swing states that will determine the winner: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. Yet even Rasmussen, a bold veteran pollster who has often been among the few upholders of Trump’s electoral viability, has collapsed and joined the mournful chorus of those projecting a crushing defeat for the administration.

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The discordant note in this crescendo of Democratic triumphalism is that believable state polls show Trump leading in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, and Ohio, and less than five points behind in the other six states except Nevada, where the margin is thought to be 6 percent. This is an election where it is all to play for. The formal and informal Democratic establishment convinced itself that the country had been repelled by Trump’s belligerency in his debate with Biden. There is no reason to think that the country was much impressed with it, but there is reason to believe that it wasn’t much impressed with Biden’s calling the president a “liar, clown, racist,” and telling him to “Shut up!” either. Trump had no monopoly on indignity in that debate and he easily won the exchange of points, including the heavy-handed but, in the circumstances, not altogether uncalled for: “There’s nothing smart about you, Joe.”

Nor should it be assumed that the country followed the Trump-hating networks in comparing his jaunty wave from the White House balcony after he returned from Walter Reed Hospital after an extraordinarily rapid recovery from the coronavirus to a uniformed, jut-jawed Mussolini responding with a straight-right-arm salute from the balcony of the Palazzo Venezia to thousands of black-shirted followers shouting up in unison “Duce, Duce!” The same commentator was reminded of “the Czar family,” presumably referring to the Romanovs (whose balcony appearances were seldom photographed), but more likely thinking of the British royal family, which appears on the balcony at Buckingham Palace on appropriate occasions. President Trump would surely not be insulted by comparison with King George VI, Queen Elizabeth, the then princesses Elizabeth and Margaret, and Winston Churchill, appearing on the balcony to receive the applause of hundreds of thousands of their countrymen on the day of the unconditional surrender of Nazi Germany, May 8, 1945. It does require, however, in respect of all of these historical precedents, a considerable and malicious imagination to be reminded of them by Trump waving to a handful of White House employees, security personnel, and media from an altitude of one floor. The professional Trump-haters are prepared to identify his every word and action with something pretentious, contemptible, or dishonest, though often they are quite uncontroversial. As Dr. Freud famously said, “Sometimes a cigar is just a cigar.”

At some point, the majority of Americans will give Trump some credit for coming through the coronavirus as gallantly as he did, for accelerating the pursuit of the vaccine, and for the protection of the vulnerable, the revival of the economy, and the facts that over 99 percent of people infected with the virus survive it, none of which could be easily deduced from the relentless hysteria propagated by the Democratic media in order to justify an extended economic shutdown and lay the full responsibility for the economic consequences on the president’s allegedly incompetent response to the pandemic. Even media commentators who are not rabidly anti-Trump cannot resist implying that his excessive optimism at the onset of the pandemic, and some of the absurd and demeaning exchanges he had with members of the press at the daily sessions where he shouldered the vice president aside to speak for the commission, constituted mismanagement of the crisis rather than merely an inappropriate reappearance of the self-centered verbosity against the temptations of which this president is sometimes powerless. The distinction between substance and optics will assert itself.

The Democrats were never going to get all the way to Election Day while keeping their quavering and wobbly candidate in his basement, ostensibly for health reasons. And they are not going to get all the way there without a substantial number of thoughtful voters reflecting upon the fact that there is no Democratic campaign except frenzied denigration of the president and an irrational super-spreading of panic about a virus that is not seriously dangerous to the overwhelming majority of the public. The country will not fail to notice that this campaign has been conducted on the candidate’s behalf by an unprecedentedly biased and unprofessional national political media. And contrary to widespread caricature, not all those who will remember that Trump cut their taxes, practically eliminated illegal immigration, made it much easier through deregulation to operate a small business, avoided a furious green assault on the petroleum and automobile industries, renegotiated poor trade deals, rallied America and much of the world to the threat posed by China, revived the concept of nuclear nonproliferation, reduced drug prices, and eliminated oil imports are Archie Bunker look-alikes in MAGA hats swilling beer in front of their television sets. And some will remember the evildoing of those who confected the Trump-Russia hoax, the obstructionist chicanery of the authors of the impeachment trial, and the questionable conduct of the Democratic candidate and his family in dubious financial endeavors in Ukraine and China.

This mighty fest of mudslinging and defamation has undoubtedly denied the president the heavy reelection that he has earned. Having had as brilliant a first term as Franklin D. Roosevelt and Richard Nixon, he deserves, as they did in 1936 and 1972, to take over 60 percent of the vote. He will not do that, but those who think he will be buried by 15 million votes are chronic Democrats replicating Talleyrand’s description of the Bourbons returning to Paris in Wellington’s baggage train after Waterloo: “They have forgotten nothing, and they have learned nothing.” They may learn an unpleasant lesson on November 3.

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2 Comments

  1. What the SWAMP CREATURES created over 240 years, got researched and analyzed during the first term needs to be implemented during the second term.
    The important thing will be to remove the SWAMP CREATURES, and ship them to their NEW MECCA – the BAY AREA ON THE WEST COAST.
    These creatures will include:
    LIFE LONG PROFESSIONAL POLITICIANS

    – As a disincentive let “we the people” become “WE THE PEOPLE” and vote the professional politicians out on November 3rd. The alternative may not be as desirable, but in the case of 435 Congressmen it will be a strong message and not much damage a novice Congress can make in two years. The more important thing to remember is not to re-elect the duds or the professional politicians we boot out on November 3rd ever again.

    – We can start working on the Senate in 2022, when one-third of these professional politicians can be removed. Let us follow up in 2024 and 2026.

    The above two will result in the disappearance of dinosaurs like Pelosi, Feinstein, Grassley, Leahy, McConnell, and others who cannot speak their mind, but have to read their mind to communicate.

    Let us hold all future leaders to the high standards established by Judge Amy Coney Barrett, as a witness with a BLANK NOTE PAD. Have the Committee members sit up their with a blank note pad.

    Let us insist that HR-1 in the new Congress be a simple one
    – “CONGRESS HEREWITH RESOLVES TO PASS NO LAWS FOR ITSELF AND ITS MEMBERS THAT ARE NOT EQUALLY APPLICABLE TO THE CITIZENS OFTHE UNITED STATESOF AMERICA;
    – “CONGRESS HEREWITH CANCELS AND NULLIFIES ANY AND ALL LAWS, RESOLUTIONS, BENEFITS PREVIOUSLY PASSED;
    – “CONGRESS HEREWITH DIRECTS THE SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE TO PRESENT A RESOLUTION FOR SUCH NULLIFICATION, APPLICABLE TO THE CURRENT MEMBERS OF CONGRESS AND MEMBERS OF SUBSEQUENT CONGRESSES, AND THE REPLACEMNET THEREOF CONSISTENT WITH BENEFITS APPLICABLE TO SOCIAL SECURITY RECIPIENTS AND THE AVERAGE OF THE 50 STATE EMPLOYEES RESULTING IN THE BENEFITS BEING AVAILABLE ONLY DURINGTHEIR TERM(s) IN OFFICEAND NOT IN PERPETUITY. THE PUBLICATION OF SUCH RESOLUTION IN CFR WILL TAKE PLACENOLATER THEN 20 DAYS AFTER THE PASSAGE OF HR-1;
    – “CONGRESS SHALLIN SUCH A RESOLTION REALIGN THE BENEFITS TO ITS STAFF BASED ON THE AVERAGE OF THE SOCIAL SECURITY RECIPIENTSAND THE 50 STATE AVERAGE;
    – “CONGRESS SHALL IMMEDIATELY CONVERT ITS PENSION PLANS FOR MEMBERS AND STAFF CONSISTENT WITH THE TOP TEN ESOP CORPORATIONS CONVERSION FROM PENSION TO 401(K) PLANS. THERE SHALL BE NO DISTINCTION BETWEEN THE BENEFITS AFFORDED TO A MEMBER OR STAFF IN THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE 401(K) PLAN WITH DISTRIBUTION OF ACCUMULATED FUNDS IN ACCORDANCEWITH THE SOCIAL SECURITY ACT.

    – “THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA SHALL ASO BE RQUIRED TO FOLLOW THE ABOVE PROCESS IN ITS CHAMBER, WITH SIMILAR RESULTS.

    BOTH HR-1 AND SENATE-1 WILLESTABLISH TERM LIMITSOF NO MORE THAN TWO SESSIONS (12 YEARS FOR SENATE AND FOUR YEARS FOR CONGRESS) TO FULLY IMPLEMENT THE FRAMERS INITIAL INTENT OF CITIZEN POLITICIANS.

    LOBBYISTS – Require full operational transparency, including publishing detailed financial records, lobbying schedule, meeting notes and records, staffing and salary information of the controlling members (boards and executive team).

    POLLSTERS – Require them to publish all background information related to the poll – methodology, statistics and analysis along with the poll results.

    MAIN STREAM MEDIA – Specify Journalists as those in the NEWS REPORTING AND COMMUNICATING aspects only. Opinion Hosts, their staff and researchers lose the privileges afforded to a Journalist. Remove Section 230 privilege from the Social Media and hold them to the same standard as the print and broadcast media combined.

    DISLOYAL BUREAUCRATS – Remove Civil Service Protection; convert Pension Plan to 401(K); Decertify the Union, if necessary.

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