The Democracy vs. Authoritarianism Framework Is Too Simplistic 

POLITICS & POLICY

In his newsletter today, Matthew Yglesias makes a good point about how portraying the U.S. in a struggle against authoritarianism has truth to it, but also has its limits (NB: I don’t agree with every characterization below):

  • The European countries most enthusiastically supporting Ukraine are not the most solidly democratic ones, but the ones with the most historical conflict with Russia. This includes the deeply admirable Baltic states but also the fairly illiberal and at least a bit autocratic governing group in Poland.

  • Israel has refused to back Ukraine, largely because of considerations related to Russian forces in Syria.

  • But Turkey, which has taken a very autocratic turn under its current government, has given Ukraine critical assistance in the form of military drones in what seems to be an extension of conflicts between Turkey and Russia in Libya, Syria, and the Caucuses, none of which have anything to do with democracy.

  • In an extension of its Cold War-era alliance with the USSR, India has largely backed Russia during the current crisis.

  • It is perfectly possible for autocratic regimes to avoid being geopolitical troublemakers (Singapore) and for democracies to run off the rails and launched unproved invasions of weaker states (the USA in Iraq).

  • The United States will want to collaborate with autocratic (Vietnam) and semi-autocratic (Philippines) states in geopolitical competition with China.

  • Taking advantage of the falling-out between the USSR and China in the 1970s was smart, and we should be prepared to try to do the same thing again in the future — ideally because Russia becomes a cuddly pro-western democracy but really under any circumstances where they are prepared to be reasonable.

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