New poll sends shot across the bow to Biden’s re-election hopes as Trump surges in critical swing states

News & Politics

Donald Trump is stretching his lead over President Joe Biden in critical swing states, according to a new poll.

The latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey, released on Wednesday, found that Trump is leading Biden in seven battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — that are critical to winning a presidential election.

Here are the results of the poll:

  • Arizona — Trump: 47%, Biden: 44%
  • Georgia — Trump: 49%, Biden: 41%
  • Michigan — Trump: 47%, Biden: 42%
  • Nevada — Trump: 48%, Biden: 40%
  • North Carolina — Trump: 49%, Biden: 39%
  • Pennsylvania — Trump: 48%, Biden: 45%
  • Wisconsin — Trump: 49%, Biden: 44%

The poll is yet another warning sign for Democrats that Biden is a vulnerable candidate whose re-election is very much in doubt. Especially concerning for Biden is the fact that he won six of these seven states in the 2020 presidential election, losing only North Carolina.

That Biden is trailing Trump by statistically significant margins just nine months away from Election Day is the proverbial canary in the coal mine.

To make matters worse for Biden, Trump’s lead in these states has grown in short order. Compared to the same poll taken last month, Trump’s lead has increased by one point in Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; by two points in Georgia; and by five points in Nevada.

Biden, though, gained one point on Trump in Arizona.

Moreover, a majority of the 4,956 registered voters who were surveyed blamed Biden for the border crisis, while significantly fewer blamed Trump or congressional Republicans.

This finding confirms what other polls have discovered: voters trust Trump with the issues they most care about (the economy, crime, immigration, foreign policy, education, etc.)

Still, the poll is not all good news for Trump. A slight majority of respondents, which included 62% of moderate voters, said they would totally reject Trump in November if he is convicted of a crime. This is a concerning metric for Trump because moderate voters and independents are the voters who will likely decide the outcome of the election.

A new Quinnipiac poll, meanwhile, found that Biden is leading Trump nationwide, boosted by support from independents.

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